Wasan dogon lokaci na tasirin snail na gaba 3800, shin farashin ƙarfe zai iya ci gaba da hauhawa?

Faduwar farashin katantanwa a wannan karon ta fi faruwa ne saboda bayan an sayar da shi fiye da kima a makon da ya gabata, kasuwa ta canza a daren Juma'a, kuma gajeren wandon sun ci gaba da rage matsayinsu. Bugu da ƙari, kasuwar ta daina faɗuwa a ƙarshen mako kuma ta yi "ɗaukar fansa", wanda hakan ya sa farashin futures ya ci gaba da hauhawa.
Sanarwar buƙatar gabaɗaya gabaɗaya ce
A ƙarƙashin tasirin ƙarancin buƙatar gabaɗaya a rabin farko na shekara, kowa zai yi fatan cewa jerin matakan "daidaita ci gaba" da jihar ta gabatar a rabin na biyu na shekara za su hanzarta kuma su nuna sakamako. Amma daga mahangar yanzu, saboda rashin lokacin bazara, buƙatar gabaɗaya ba ta ƙaru fiye da yadda ake tsammani ba a ƙarƙashin tasirin yanayin zafi mai yawa da ruwan sama.
(Don ƙarin koyo game da tasirin takamaiman samfuran ƙarfe, kamarMasu samar da bututun ƙarfe na galvanized, za ku iya jin daɗin tuntuɓar mu)
A ranar 15 ga Yuli, Hukumar Kididdiga ta Ƙasa ta fitar da bayanan tattalin arziki na kwata na biyu, wanda ke nuna cewa gidaje har yanzu suna cikin koma-baya. Daga watan Janairu zuwa Yuni, jarin haɓaka gidaje ya faɗi da kashi 5.4% a kowace shekara, ƙaruwar maki 1.4% daga watan Janairu zuwa Mayu, kuma raguwar ta sake faɗaɗa a watan Yuni, wanda ya jawo raguwar jarin kadarorin da aka saka a gaba. A watan Yuni, fannin gina gidaje ya faɗi da kashi 48.1% a kowace shekara, kuma raguwar ta faɗaɗa; sabon yankin da aka fara, wanda ke da mafi girman alaƙa da zuba jari a gidaje, ya faɗi da kashi 44.9% a kowace shekara a cikin watan.
Duk da cewa ra'ayin jama'a kan "tsayawa kan batun bashin da ake bin gida" ya ragu a wannan makon, kuma wurare da yawa suna tattaunawa kan ci gaban ginin, sakin buƙatun har yanzu matsakaici ne.
(Idan kuna son ƙarin bayani game da labaran masana'antu akanFarashin Bututun Karfe na Gi, za ku iya tuntuɓar mu a kowane lokaci)
Matsi a gefen samar da kayayyaki ya ragu saboda raguwar samar da kayayyaki da kuma rumbunan ajiya
A ƙarƙashin ƙarancin buƙatar gabaɗaya, farashin ƙarfe ya ci gaba da faɗuwa, kuma masana'antun ƙarfe sun sha wahala sakamakon asara kuma sun ci gaba da faɗaɗa raguwar samar da kayayyaki. A ranar 15 ga Yuli, ƙimar aikin injinan busassun na ƙananan da matsakaitan masana'antun ƙarfe 100 a duk faɗin ƙasar ya kai kashi 77.5%, wanda ya ragu da kashi 4.9% daga mafi girman matsayi a wannan shekarar. Matsakaicin yawan fitar da ɗanyen ƙarfe a kowace rana a halin yanzu ya ragu sosai. A cewar ƙididdiga daga Ƙungiyar ƙarfe da ƙarfe ta China, matsakaicin yawan fitar da ɗanyen ƙarfe a kowace rana da manyan kamfanonin ƙarfe ke yi a farkon watan Yuli ya kai tan miliyan 2.075, ƙasa da tan 280,000 ko sama da kashi 12% daga mafi girman matsayi a wannan shekarar.
(Idan kana son samun farashin takamaiman kayayyakin ƙarfe, kamarBututun Karfe na Galvanized Domin Ruwa, za ku iya tuntuɓar mu don yin ƙiyasin farashi a kowane lokaci)
A lokaci guda kuma, yawan kayayyakin ƙarfe yana raguwa. A halin yanzu, an sami "raguwa sau huɗu a jere", tare da raguwar jimillar tan miliyan 1.134, raguwar kashi 7.82%. Matsin lamba a cikin masana'antar ƙarfe shi ma ya ragu sosai.

Duk da cewa farashin ma'adinan ƙarfe ya faɗi da sama da dalar Amurka 50 daga mafi girman matsayi a wannan shekarar, farashin har yanzu yana kan babban matsayi. An ƙara farashin coke kuma an rage shi a zagaye uku, amma farashin yanzu shine mafi girma a cikin wannan lokacin a cikin shekaru goma da suka gabata. A ƙarƙashin tsadar farashi, masana'antun ƙarfe gabaɗaya suna cikin asara, tun daga asarar kusan yuan 200 zuwa asarar yuan 400-500. Saboda haka, tsadar har yanzu tana da ƙarfi ga farashin ƙarfe.

Daga mahangar yanzu, farashin ƙarfe ya samu tallafi, amma ci gaba da ƙaruwar farashi bai isa ba, kuma ɗan gajeren lokaci har yanzu yana cikin lokacin wasa tsakanin dogon lokaci da gajere. A cikin wannan lokaci na gaba, muna buƙatar mayar da hankali kan hauhawar farashin Fed, koma bayan tattalin arziki na duniya da kuma farfaɗo da buƙata.